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DESTRUCTIVE ECONOMIC MYTHS

Wildly inaccurate statements from news commentators, financial analysts, politicians and even administration officials have most people believing that if Congress does not increase the debt limit in March, the U.S. government will default on its debt obligations, thus ending the government's ability to borrow. Nonsense.

The big-government crowd claims huge hardships would result from the mandatory spending reductions. Again, nonsense. Spending would only have to be reduced to roughly the 2006 level to avoid an ongoing deficit.

Another widespread myth is that if the government reduces its spending, that will cost jobs.  The fact is that the percentage of adults in the labor force has fallen to its lowest level in three decades even as the government has grown by a quarter in relative size in the past three years.

The destructive myth persists that if only we could get the rich to cease engaging in tax avoidance, which is legal, and stop tax evasion, which is illegal, government would have adequate revenue. The fact is that rich people already pay most of the taxes.

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CLUELESS ON CAIRO

To give the impression they’re on top of things, President Obama and his aides have spoken out frequently during the crisis in Egypt.  But the many shifts in their position are alienating both supporters of the regime and those who are protesting it.

“The official U.S. position is that (Egyptian President Hosni) Mubarak needs to go immediately, he needs to stay indefinitely, he needs to stay for a bit and then go, he needs to stay for a bit longer and then go sooner rather than later, unless he decides to stay until September,” summarized humorist Mark Steyn.

“The improvisational -- critics say closer to schizophrenic -- nature of U.S. diplomacy during the crisis leaves the administration in the unwelcome position of having to make amends with whichever side emerges from the Egyptian tumult as the governing power,” wrote Ben Smith in the Webzine Politico.  “The anti-Mubarak forces clearly will wonder whether the White House ever had their back -- but Mubarak and those close to him also will question whether Washington was ready to throw him over the side.”

Mr. Obama appears to have backed away from his demand that Mr. Mubarak resign “yesterday” because under the Egyptian constitution, he would be succeeded not by Vice President Omar Suleiman, the administration’s preference, but by the Speaker of the House, and that new presidential elections must be held within 60 days, a timetable that would give the Islamist Muslim Brotherhood a big advantage.

I don’t expect the president or his aides to have the details of the Egyptian constitution at their fingertips.  I do expect them to familiarize themselves with it before they pop off in public.

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THE WAR ON THE CONSTITUTION

Challenges in court to the constitutionality of Obamacare have exposed the broader agenda of those who are committed to the permanent expansion of government power which that legislation represents. The specific legal issues are almost irrelevant because Obamacare is so clearly outside the scope of limited, constitutional government. This has made it necessary for the advocates of unrestrained government power to either attack the U.S. Constitution itself or the very concept of constitutional limits on the tyranny of the majority or of a ruthless minority elite. Some try to sidestep the attack on the Constitution by substituting a war on English. They claim to support the Constitution but deny that words have any objective meaning.

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PRAYER REQUEST

TTP Member, Ella forwarded this from Michael Pack (Archangel):   "My wife was just diagnosed with cancer.  We don't have all the tests done yet, but the doc feels very strongly about her prospects.  We have a 3 1/2 yr old boy, and a 4mo old daughter.

The bottom line is, we will take all the prayers we can get." Her name is Stacey Pack.

Let's take a minute to ask God's intercession for Stacey and her family.

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THE BIGGEST LOSER

We don’t know yet who will emerge as winners from the turmoil in the Middle East.  But it’s pretty clear who is the biggest loser.

“The White House has not looked weaker and more indecisive in decades,” said Sultan al Qassemi, a columnist for a newspaper in the United Arab Emirates.

“Nobody’s listening to America anymore,” Rami Khouri, director of the Fares Institute of Public Policy and International Affairs at the American University of Beirut told the Washington Post.  “It’s become irrelevant.”

The decline of Western influence is a product of bad leadership, wrote Ari Shavat in the Israeli newspaper Haaretz.

“How can it be that Bush’s America understood the problem of repression in the Arab world, but Obama’s America ignored it until last week?” he asked.  “How can it be that in May, 2009, Hosni Mubarak was an esteemed president who Barack Obama respected, and in January 2011 Mubarak is a dictator whom even Obama is casting aside?”

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ISRAEL WOUNDS ITSELF

As the threats against Israel mount from all directions, the job of the IDF Chief of General Staff is becoming more challenging by the day.

First on the list of threats is Iran. While it is apparently true that the Stuxnet computer virus continues to wreak havoc on Iran's nuclear program, it is also true that Iran remains dedicated to moving forward, despite all obstacles.

Then there is Egypt. Iran's dictator-in-chief Ali Khamenei has spent the two weeks since the anti-regime protests began in Egypt bragging that the unrest shows Iran's star is rising. The "Islamic awakening" hearkened by the 1979 Iranian revolution is unfolding before our eyes, he says.

POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS in Egypt, as well as the sabotage of the natural gas pipeline from Egypt to Israel at el-Arish, show that the southern front is active again after 30 years. The IDF needs to prepare for the possibility of a conventional war in the south and the north. It will have to relearn how to fight a war in the desert. New weapons systems will have to be developed and procured. Troops will have to receive expanded training.

In short, the ways the IDF thinks about war, plans for war, arms for war, trains for war and wages war are all going to have to change.

In light of these awesome challenges, the IDF's next chief of general staff will have to have the attitude of a revolutionary as he guides the IDF through massive change, and commands it in complex and perhaps existential battles.

Unfortunately, chances that such a commander will arise received a blow last week when Attorney General Yehuda Weinstein decided to force the government to cancel its decision to appoint Maj. Gen. Yoav Galant to replace outgoing Chief of Gen. Staff Lt. Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi next Tuesday.

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DEMOCRACY AND THE PRICE OF WHEAT

So what’s that got to do with the price of wheat?

Quite a lot...if the topic is unrest in the Middle East.

The price of wheat has nearly doubled in the last year. Egypt is the world’s largest importer of wheat.  For Egyptians -- half of whom live on less than $2 a day -- that can be the difference between feeding your family and starving.

Egyptians have known only authoritarian governments.  But starvation can make political arrangements long tolerated seem intolerable.

President Barack Obama belatedly has concluded a lack of democracy is the source of instability in Egypt. 

He overstates enthusiasm for democracy.  The middle class in Egypt is very small.  There are more than three times as many illiterates as there are college graduates.

A Pew poll released Dec. 2 indicates few Egyptians share the outlook of the middle class.  Given a choice between “Islamists” and “modernizers,” 59 percent preferred the Islamists, only 27 percent the modernizers.

“A population that was convinced just two months ago that sharks in the Red Sea were implanted by the Israeli Intelligence Services is hardly at a stage of creating a liberal democracy in Egypt,” Egyptian student Sam Tadros said in an email to Clarice Feldman of the American Thinker.

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CELEBRATING RONALD REAGAN

This Sunday, February 6, 2011, is the centennial of the birth of the Greatest American of the 20th Century, Ronald Reagan.  Annually on this day, TTP runs our ode to him, The Great-Souled Man.   For his 100th birthday, however, we thought that it's worth spending time watching him and listening to his words.  Yes, it's Super Bowl weekend, but taking a break now and then to watch one of the following will give you such an appreciation for this extraordinary human being.  It will commemorate him in your mind in a special way.  We begin the celebration with his hilarious appearance on the What's My Line television show in 1953 - yes, 1953. 

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HALF-FULL REPORT 02/04/11

This has been a week both sobering and thrilling, depressing and hopeful, serendipitous and its antonym.  (Serendipity is finding something where you least expect it.  Strangely, there is no word expressing its opposite:  not finding something where you most expect it.) In other words, it's a truly half-full week.  Might as well look at why it's half-empty first. This is not going to be easy, because it involves conservatives who are friends and whom I admire - yet who have allowed their limbic brain to be paralyzed with fear and shut down their prefrontal cortex.  I am ashamed of them.  I hope they soon regain their capacity for rational and moral thought. I am referring to the host of conservative pundits in print, the Web, on talk radio and TV news - no names here, it's easy to figure out who they are - who are so freaking out in support of Mubarak they want to see Mubarak's thugs commit mass slaughter on the demonstrators in Cairo peacefully demanding freedom and democracy. They have gone so morally insane that they seem to actually want Tiananmen Square-style bloodshed in Tahrir Square.  Why aren't conservative leaders proclaiming their support for freedom and democracy in Egypt, proclaiming their solidarity with the protestors, and are instead siding with Mubarak's thugs?  This is beyond disgusting.

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WHAT RUSSIA HAS LOST

Last week on January 24, a suicide bomber attack at Moscow's Domodedovo Airport killed 36 people.  According to Russian intelligence, the terrorist act was perpetrated by someone from one of the predominantly Moslem areas of the North Caucasus region. It's been nearly 12 years since Putin began building his reputation as a tough, no- nonsense leader by promising rather crudely to pursue terrorists everywhere, catch them in airport toilets and "waste them in the outhouse." By picking Domodedovo Airport for the ninth serious terrorist attack in Moscow since then, the terrorists are telling the Russian people that Putin can talk all he wants but is incapable of protecting them. This latest tragedy highlights a number of conclusions about Putin's policies and the fate of Russia that were already discernable - for what's now crystal clear is that Russia under Putin has not only lost its war with terrorism, but more than that, it has lost its way as a civilized state and society and faces a very uncertain future.       

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