DANCING AROUND THE DEBT
It would be fiscally irresponsible to raise the ceiling on the national debt from $8.1 trillion to $8.9 trillion, the junior senator from Illinois said when President George W. Bush wanted to do that in 2006. Raising the debt limit "is a sign of leadership failure," he said. "Washington is shifting the burden of bad choices today onto the backs of our children and grandchildren." The national debt has doubled since 2006, but Barack Obama says now it would be fiscally irresponsible NOT to raise it. For hypocrisy, this can't be topped. But the president isn't the only hypocrite. Nothing has generated as much posturing and grandstanding as the all too frequent votes to raise the debt ceiling.
THE EARTH GETTING GREENER EXPOSES CLIMATE ALARMISM AS A TOTAL FRAUD
Did you know that the Earth is getting greener, quite literally? Satellites are now confirming that the amount of green vegetation on the planet has been increasing for three decades. This will be news to those accustomed to alarming tales about deforestation, overdevelopment and ecosystem destruction. This possibility was first suspected in 1985 by Charles Keeling, the scientist whose meticulous record of the content of the air atop Mauna Loa in Hawaii first alerted the world to the increasing concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Mr. Keeling's famous curve showed not only a year-by-year increase in carbon dioxide levels but a season-by-season oscillation in the concentration. The latest and most detailed satellite data, which is yet to be published but was summarized in an online lecture last July by Ranga Myneni of Boston University, confirms that the greening of the Earth has now been going on for 30 years. Between 1982 and 2011, 20.5% of the world's vegetated area got greener, while just 3% grew browner; the rest showed no change. What explains this trend? Man-made nitrogen fertilizer causes crops to grow faster, but it is having little effect on forests. There are essentially two possibilities: climate and carbon dioxide itself. Warmer, wetter weather should cause more vegetation to grow. But even without warming, an increase in carbon dioxide should itself accelerate growth rates of plants. CO2 is a scarce resource that plants have trouble scavenging from the air, and plants grow faster with higher levels of CO2 to inhale.
JUDGEMENT DAY ON OBAMA’S SPENDING
The current debate about the debt vote is minor league compared to what will happen when the government literally cannot spend more than it is taking in. That time may be nearer than you think. It is true that the U.S. government can always "print" money to pay its bills, but at some point, printing more money becomes self-defeating because the resulting increase in the government bond interest rate and required interest payment will spiral out of control. At that point, the government will be forced to operate on a pay-as-you-go basis, as any individual or business is forced to do when they can no longer get credit. Several California cities are now in this situation. The U.S. government now receives about $200 billion a month in revenue and spends about $320 billion a month. Any responsible business or individual faced with a situation where receipts are only 60 percent of expenditures would make changes before their credit was cut off or, at the very minimum, have a plan for which bills to pay first -- but not the U.S. government. It appears that President Obama is once again going to produce a budget that assumes very high levels of deficit spending can go on forever. It also appears that Senate Democrats will continue to not bother to pass a budget. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is the ultimate spoiled child, accusing the taxpayers of engaging in child abuse by not giving him an unlimited allowance.
WHAT IS THE REPUTATION YOU’D LIKE TO EARN WITH YOURSELF?
When you get to know people, you are, in part, building a reputation with each other. "What kind of person is he?" "How does she handle a difficult situation?" "What kind of attitude does he bring to his work?" "How does she respond to confrontation or adversity?" Over time, we learn whether a given person is honest, whether they can be relied upon, how playful they are, to what degree their actions reflect what they say. We get a sense of their style, their likes, and their dislikes. Here is a piece that is often missing: We watch ourselves just like we watch others, and we develop a reputation with ourselves accordingly. This is the essence of earned self-esteem. Here's how to increase yours.
IS TEXAS AMERICA’S HOPE FOR THE FUTURE?
Papeete, Tahiti. Yesterday (1/21), at the very moment Zero was being sworn in to his stolen second term and delivering a speech so bad even WaPo's premier liberal columnist panned it as "flat, partisan, and pedestrian," I was on a shark dive off a remote French Polynesian island. We were 70 feet down and surrounded by a half dozen ten-foot long lemon sharks sporting impressive arrays of knife-sharp teeth. But they were after the multitude of schools of brightly colored tropical reef fish all around us, searching for those whose abnormal swimming (sensed by electroreceptors in their head) meant easy prey. I wanted no part of the irretrievably disgusting spectacle in Washington and was happy to be as far away and as oblivious to it as possible. When you're diving, you are totally in the moment. You are in a completely different universe of incomparable beauty, and while you are in it, the world of dry land and all that is happening there, does not exist. Especially if very large sharks are swimming very close to you. It was only when I got here today and learned of the spectacle in DC that it occurred to me Americans are surrounded by fascist sharks like Zero and his thugs. Many of them will be easy prey. How do we make sure we are not?
HALF-FULL REPORT 01/18/13
This was an exceptionally busy week of spinning, posturing, grandstanding, lying, smearing and demagoguery as President Barack Obama sought to thwart Republican efforts to restrain the growth of federal spending; to impose new curbs on guns, and to win confirmation of his "in your face" Cabinet. It began with a news conference Monday (1/14) so remarkable for mendacity, hypocrisy and churlishness even Dana Milbank of the Washington Post and Maureen Dowd of the New York Times noticed. "The next time Mr. Obama holds a press conference, somebody should ask him to identify by name those who want to repeal Social Security, steal food from orphans and cancel science funding," said the Wall Street Journal. Fat chance of that. "The deeply unethical relationship between the White House and the Washington press corps ensures that nary a statement of Obama's will be subjected to questioning or scrutiny, much less the mockery that attends just about anything a Republican says," said Michael Walsh. * * * The president used children as props for his news conference Wednesday (1/16) calling for new gun control measures. Here's more on the infantile spectacle. But, said White House Press Secretary Jay Carney, it is "repugnant and cowardly" for the NRA to note his daughters have armed protection. * * * Nothing has generated as much posturing, grandstanding, and hypocrisy as Congress' now all too frequent votes to lift the ceiling on the national debt. * * * Little illustrates Zero's "my way, or the highway" attitude better than his choices for his Cabinet. Jack Lew, slated to replace Turbo Tax Tim Geithner, may be the worst. * * * The French have intervened in Mali, where al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb" (AQIM) has established a larger base than al-Qaeda had in Afghanistan. With the French intervention, "the stage is set for another bitter, chaotic al-Qaida defeat," said my friend Austin Bay. The harshness of Islamist rule will backfire, as it did in Iraq and Algeria, he thinks. But Walter Russell Mead wonders if another Dien Bien Phu looms. Or another Afghanistan, frets the London Daily Mail. * * * "The shortest distance in modern politics is the one between a Republican willing to denounce his party for extremism and the set of a cable or Sunday morning talk show," says Artur Davis,
WHY DON’T THE GERMANS TRUST OBAMA WITH THEIR GOLD?
Back in the mid-1920s, the head of the German Central Bank, Herr Hjalmar Schacht, went to New York to see Germany's gold. However the NY Fed officials were unable to find the pallet of Germany's gold bullion. The Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Benjamin Strong was mortified, but to put him at ease Herr Schacht turned to him and said "Never mind, I believe you when you say the gold is there. Even if it weren't you are good for its replacement." But that was then and this is now. In the eyes of the Germans - and who can blame them? - America has lost its mojo to such a degree that it can no longer be trusted honor its debts, even in the unlikely event that it were financially capable of doing so. Which is why, following in the footsteps of Venezuela's Hugo Chavez (who may be an idiot but is definitely no fool), Germany is repatriating its gold from the New York Federal Reserve, which will now be stored in Frankfurt. Now, why in the world would they do that? Don't they trust Obama with their gold?
WILL THE WORLD SOON HAVE A NEW GOLD STANDARD?
The world is moving step by step towards a de facto Gold Standard, without any meetings of G20 leaders to announce the idea or bless the project. Some TTPers will already have seen the GFMS Gold Survey for 2012 which reported that central banks around the world bought more bullion last year in terms of tonnage than at any time in almost half a century. They added a net 536 tons in 2012 as they diversified fresh reserves away from the four fiat suspects: dollar, euro, sterling, and yen. Gone is the illusion that the euro would take its place as the twin pillar of a new G2 condominium alongside the dollar. That hope has faded. Central bank holdings of euro bonds have fallen back to 26%, where they were almost a decade ago. Neither the euro nor the dollar can inspire full confidence, although for different reasons. The euro is a dysfunctional construct, covering two incompatible economies (northern vs. southern Europe), prone to lurching from crisis to crisis, without a unified treasury to back it up. The dollar stands on a pyramid of debt. We all know that this debt will be inflated away over time - for better or worse. The only real disagreement is over the speed.
TALE OF TWO ECONOMIC STYLES
Will 2013 be a better year? A number of economic commentators have been saying the worst is behind us. I think they are wrong, and here is why. In most major countries, including the United States, government is growing faster than the private sector.
As Mitchell's Golden Rule explains, when the private sector grows faster than government, prosperity increases, and when government grows faster than the private sector, misery increases.
As can be seen in the accompanying table, in most of the major nations, debt-to-GDP ratios are increasing, because the deficits as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) are greater than economic growth -- meaning these countries are getting deeper in the hole each year. The US is one of them.
CHINA’S LEADERS FEAR THEIR PEOPLE MORE THAN THEY FEAR US
China has threatened Japan, the Philippines and Vietnam with war over islands in the South China Sea which under international law belong to Japan, the Philippines and Vietnam. China has built up its military forces opposite Taiwan, even though the new Taiwanese government seeks closer ties to Beijing. China is building up military forces along its border with India, India's intelligence service reported in July. If that weren't saber rattling enough, "China will not hesitate to protect Iran even with a third world war," a Chinese general said last month. China bullies its neighbors because it can, most analysts think. "Beijing is deploying superior power in an effort to repeal basic geometry and clearly written treaty law," wrote James Holmes, a professor of strategy at the U.S. Naval War College. "Learn to love Big Brother, Southeast Asia." There could be a very different reason for Chinese bellicosity.