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AN OPEN LETTER TO POPE FRANCIS

Your Holiness: As world leaders contemplate a climate agreement, many look to you for guidance. We commend you for your care for the earth and God's children, especially the poor. With this letter we raise some matters of concern that we ask you to consider as you convey that guidance. Much of the debate over environmental stewardship is rooted in a clash of worldviews, with conflicting doctrines of God, creation, humanity, sin, and salvation. Unfortunately, that clash often works its way into the very conclusions of environmental science. Rather than a careful reporting of the best evidence, we get highly speculative and theory-laden conclusions presented as the assured results of science. In the process, science itself is diminished, and many well-meaning moral and religious leaders risk offering solutions based on misleading science. The effect, tragically, is that the very people we seek to help could be harmed instead. Specifically, the scientific method demands that theories be tested by empirical observation. By that test, computer climate models of the warming effect of enhanced atmospheric carbon dioxide are wrong. They therefore provide no rational basis to forecast dangerous human-induced global warming, and therefore no rational basis for efforts to reduce warming by restricting the use of fossil fuels or any other means. Further, we ask you to consider that substituting low-density, intermittent energy sources like wind and solar for high-density, constant energy sources like fossil fuels would be catastrophic to the world's poor.

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SECRETS OF SWISS SUCCESS

Geneva, Switzerland.  What is the happiest place? Last week (4/23) in its annual World Happiness Report, the United Nations reported that Switzerland was No. 1. The United States ranked No. 15, and the African country of Togo came in last, at number 158. (Scroll down to Figure 2.2 for the ranked list.) Switzerland is arguably the world's most successful country -- and most improbably so. It is landlocked and without much in the way of natural resources. It has four official languages, many different religious groups, and is surrounded by warring neighbors. Yet, it has remained an island of peace and prosperity. The modern Swiss federal state goes back to 1848, when a federal constitution was adopted, giving the central government responsibility for defense, trade and legal matters. All other government matters were left to the cantons and the communes (i.e., cities and towns). The U.S. Constitution, which is more than a half-century older than the Swiss, also greatly limited the powers of the central government -- but unlike the Swiss, there has been a centralization of power in the capital at the expense of the states and local governments. How did the Swiss do it?

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CHINA’S COMING LOST DECADE

China is drafting plans for bond purchases to boost liquidity and shore up the country's $2.6 trillion edifice of local government debt, becoming last of the world's big economic powers to resort to quantitative easing. The news propelled the Chinese stock market to a seven-year high yesterday (4/27), helped by fevered talk of a merger between Sinopec and PetroChina, the country's two oil giants.. The Shanghai Composite index of equities has risen by 40% this year and 125% since June, even as the economy grapples with a property slump. Corporate profits fell 2.6% in the first quarter and swathes of industry are mired in recession. "The operational situation of industrial enterprises remains grave," said the National Bureau of Statistics. Total debt has reached 250% of GDP, if all forms of trusts, shadow banking, and off-shore lending are included. "No country has ever survived that sort of rise without something bad happening," said Nariman Behravesh, global economist for IHS Global Insight.

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HALF-FULL REPORT 04/24/15

It's a jump from Niue to Vegas.  My brain hasn't the faintest idea of what time zone it's in, so my own "puzzle of paradise" is how I'm going to compose a coherent HFR right now, especially when the Rendezvous begins in a few hours. Jack Kelly has been manning the HFR ramparts superbly since early February - that's how long I've been gone - so let's hope I still remember how to do this.  Let's start right off the bat with the HFR Hero of the Week - actually, she's the Heroine of the Week, a British lady named Katie Hopkins... Now, if you prefer an American Hero of the Week - well, that's obvious too:  Peter Schweizer.  His new book, Clinton Cash: The Untold Story of How and Why Foreign Governments and Businesses Helped Make Bill and Hillary Rich, won't be out until early May - but just a handful of excerpts from it this week are destroying the PIAPS' White House hopes... Scweizer may have written her political obituary.  We need other political obituaries too - like those of any pro-amnesty RINO White House aspirant like Jeb Bush.  Or else it's America's obituary that will be written. Yes, folks, we're turning into Chavista Venezuela, which is seeing a population explosion (of voting age adults!) just in time for elections. Mark Fitzgibbons at AT explains that America is already a Soft Police State.  But there's one instructive counter-example from South Carolina... Meanwhile, you've got to love a guy who drives libtards apoplectic, like he did on Wednesday - a sacred day for all lefty eco-fascists as "Earth Day" - to the moonbats at Mother Jones who ran this headline:  Scott Walker Celebrates Earth Day by Proposing To Fire 57 Environmental Agency Employees.  How cool is that? 

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THE NEW CONSERVATIVE COUNTER-CULTURE

I'd like to give all TTPers - both those who will be attending the Vegas Rendezvous this weekend and those unable to do so - an intro to what I'll be talking about. First, though, I need to get something off of my chest. I have become very, very tired of reading standard conservative media. Frankly, the gelded whining gets to me. Detailed arguments aplenty, explaining why the latest Leftist power-grab or exploitation is wrong. Or why their latest hate speech is unfair. So. What. Newsflash: the other side doesn't care. They've made it crystal clear that power is the only goal, that they enjoy using power to enrich themselves and hurt others, and that there are no limits of law or decency that restrain them. If you're looking to standard conservative media for hope or change, I recommend Prozac as a mandatory Plan B.   Economics? Once, this was their spearhead. Now? They'd need a high-power telescope to see even Zero Hedge ahead of them; meanwhile, the global economic order makes ticking sounds. Popular culture? Never a strength - and now it's the main front of the Left. External enemies? This, they still get. But not the internal ones, who are statistically much more likely to murder you (yes, Virginia, liberals are more lethal than terrorists). Like so much of the conservative movement, they keep trying to approach the 21st century with the worldview and infrastructure of 1980. Not. Working. The cold hard truth is that liberty's future is arising without them - and may not need them. What's needed are the bright spots of the new conservative counter-culture.  Here they are...

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SCOOBY AND THE LYING SWINE

On her way to Iowa in a van she called "Scooby Doo," Hillary Clinton stopped for lunch at a Chipotle restaurant in Toledo. It was "historic," said Newsweek. She carried her own tray, gushed the New York Times. "We've never seen her eat a burrito before!" marveled Mark Halperin of Bloomberg News. Politico wrote a story about "the everyday people who made Hillary Clinton's burrito." The subtext, I gather, was how thrilling that must have been for the peasants. I hope they were thrilled, because Hillary didn't leave a tip. The "listening tour" - right down to the name of her van - is a reprise of what Ms. Clinton did when she ran for the Senate in 2000. Every event in Iowa - where Hillary met mostly with small, pre-screened groups - was staged and scripted. In the first, three "ordinary Iowans" she chatted with in a café were Democrat campaign operatives driven there by her staff. And yet the Lying Swine continue to swoon.

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SERIOUS PLAY

A relationship can have complex and unique needs at any given time, so there isn't really a "one size fits all" panacea for troubles. But of all the specific actions we can take to improve our relationships, I have found none that apply as often or as effectively as this: Be playful. Sounds easy, doesn't it? But it's more challenging than meets the eye, and there are clear guidelines for it to work: We have to play as an ally, as a member of the same team; we have to be for our mate, our child, our friend; and the play must have a spirit of love, kindness and optimism, as opposed to cynicism or sarcasm. There cannot be bitterness or resentment clouding the play; it's the combination of creative, interactive flow and positive emotions that elevates us. If you're up for the challenge, you're in for some pleasant surprises.  Here's how to be seriously playful.

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THE WORLD ECONOMY’S PROBLEM IS TOO MUCH GOVERNMENT

This past week, the International Monetary Fund again lowered its global economic forecast for 2015. The Federal Reserve had forecast the U.S. economy to grow about 4 percent near the beginning of each year for the last five years. But during each year, the Fed was forced to reduce its forecast until it got to the actual number of approximately 2 percent. Other government agencies have been making equally bad forecasts. These mammoth errors clearly show that the forecast models the official agencies use are mis-specified and contain incorrect assumptions. Government economic policymakers have been trying to solve a problem of too much government spending, taxing and regulation by inappropriately using monetary policy, which has not and cannot solve the fundamental problems. It is like using a hammer rather than a shovel to dig a hole. There is only one non-destructive solution to the global econoomy's woes.

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WHEN DID AMERICA FORGET IT’S AMERICA?

On a number of occasions during the negotiations over Iran's nuclear program, the Israeli government has appealed to the United States and its allies to demand a change in Tehran's aggressive behavior. If Iran wishes to be treated as a normal state, Israel has said, then it should start acting like one. Unfortunately, these appeals have been summarily dismissed. The Obama administration apparently believes that only after a nuclear agreement is signed can the free world expect Iran to stop its attempts at regional domination, improve its human rights record and, in general, behave like the civilized state it hopes the world will recognize it to be. As a former Soviet dissident, I cannot help but compare this approach to that of the United States during its decades-long negotiations with the Soviet Union, which at the time was a global superpower and a existential threat to the free world. The differences are striking and revealing. And the reason for those differences is tragic.

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PUZZLES OF PARADISE

Niue Island, Polynesia.  Have you ever seen the ocean turn day-glo pink?  It does here naturally during a sunset. 

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Niue (new-way) is the Polynesian paradise you've never heard of (yes, there will be more pictures below). 
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Why is one of the puzzles we'll talk about, including the world's greatest puzzle of all.  First, though, as I watch this glorious sunset in the Pacific, I can't help thinking of all the Pacific sunsets I saw where I was born and grew up, a place that was a paradise that's been destroyed by liberals. California is in the headlines now because of its draught, and all the Greenie Lefties and EPA bureaucrats responsible should be sent to a Reeducation Camp out in the Mojave Desert to learn what brainless twits they are.  Meanwhile, I'm gloating because Niue, a small island with no lakes or rivers, has pure drinkable water coming out of its ears.

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