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KING DAVID IN IRAQ

It's official: Dave Petraeus, one of the U.S. Army's most impressive leaders, is headed back to Baghdad to take charge. The assignment means a fourth star and the chance to save a desperate situation - or preside over a grim strategic failure. With back-to-back tours of duty in Iraq behind him and the most positive image among Iraqis of any U.S. leader, military or civilian, Petraeus is a natural choice. His intelligence, drive, devotion to service and negotiating skill make the lean, young-looking general seem perfect. When he led the 101st Airborne Division in northern Iraq in 2003, he proved such a superb diplomat that the Kurds called him "Malik Daoud" - King David - as a mark of respect. He listened patiently, spent money wisely, used force intelligently and truly did win hearts and minds. So what could possibly be doubtful about the choice of Gen. Petraeus to take over the leadership of our forces in Iraq?

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A TRIO OF LEGACIES

It is hard to get there if you don't know where you want to go. Despite the Democrats gaining control of Congress and his own previous mistakes, President Bush still has the opportunity to leave a constructive economic legacy, but to do so he must first clearly define his goals and determine what is realistically doable. It turns out there is a trio of legacies - regarding reforming Social Security, excessive spending, and excessive regulation - being made available to him.

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BAMBI IN SPAIN

You may have missed it in all the holiday excitement, but on December 30th the main Madrid airport (Barajas) was hit by a car bomb. It's a real blow to Spanish Prime Minister Jose Zapatero, whose nickname, believe it or not, is Bambi. The appropriately nicknamed coward was elected on the backlash of the 3/11 (2004) Madrid train bombings by cowardly Spaniards rejecting the courageous Jose Aznar. Bambi immediately withdrew Spanish forces from Iraq (where they had performed extremely well, by the way), proclaimed al Qaeda guilty of the train attacks (after Aznar had fingered the Basques), and then immediately started a Peace Process with ETA. Bambi Zapatero is one of those appeasement enthusiasts who yearns for defeat and humiliation at all costs, and just the day before the airport car bomb he had triumphantly hailed the great success of his pre-emptive surrender.

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EMULATING ETHIOPIA

It's hard to win a war if you quit fighting in the middle of it.  That's the lesson we should learn from Ethiopia's New Year's message to us. Six months ago, when the militia of the Islamic Courts Union seized the Somali capital of Mogadishu, it appeared that the al Qaeda-affiliated radicals were on the verge of a major triumph.  The redoubtable StrategyPage declared them "unstoppable," and the usual hand wringers were urging us to negotiate with them. Ethiopia's military quickly defeated them last week because it unapologetically used force against vicious people who understand only force.  They killed the people they needed to kill without worrying overmuch about collateral damage, and not at all about world opinion.  And though the Ethiopian soldiers are Christians, they were hailed as liberators in this overwhelmingly Moslem country. We need to apply Ethiopia's lesson to Iraq.

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RED STATE LOUISIANA

Washington politics can be so much fun if you look upon them as the world's best circus.  This week's clown act was hilariously performed by the Breck Boy, John Edwards, announcing his candidacy for the presidency in the 9th Ward of New Orleans. It was especially funny for me, as I was in New Orleans at the time for New Year's.  The 9th Ward was the area most devastated by Hurricane Katrina in August 2005.  The day after Edwards' appearance, I drove my son Jackson through it. Endless block after block after block, street after street after street, the small cottage homes are unlivable and abandoned.  At the most, one home out of every two or three dozen is repaired and occupied. Even many of these, however, have only cosmetic repairs covering up irreparable damage from mold.  After all, all these homes were under water for weeks.  Thousands upon thousands of homes that have to be torn down are still standing because Mayor Ray Nagin insists they be rebuilt - which they never will be. What he can't face, what John Edwards can't face, is that the corrupt heart of Democrat control of Louisiana - New Orleans' 9th Ward - is gone.

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YOU PREDICT

In reading the profusion of predictions for 2007 so many of you were kind enough to send in this past week, what became most obvious is the individuality of To The Point members.  TTPers think for themselves. Thus it has been such an enjoyable experience to read them all.  I want to thank you so much for every one.  I hope you'll understand that there are too many to discuss, that I have to pick and choose.  I also won't quote anyone with their full name - with one exception. Bill Gregory informs me that his wife Carole, after a wee dram or two of 18 year-old single malt, predicts that Hillary Clinton will remove herself from the 2008 presidential race after discovering she has testicular cancer. So seriously, folks.... All the rest were in fact serious.  Some were so pessimistic that, should they prove true, we'll need to be heavily fortified with single malt ourselves just to get through the year.    Yet others are equally optimistic.  Here's a compendium of what you predict for 2007.

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THE AUDACITY OF APOSTASY

One of the most entertaining opportunities that will emerge in 2007 will be using Barack Obama to fight Islamofascism. He is the product of a black Moslem from Kenya, Barrack Hussein Obama, and a white atheist from Kansas, Shirley Ann Dunham, who met at the University of Hawaii in Honolulu.  That is why his middle name is the same as Saddam's:  Barack Hussein Obama, Jr. His first name is taken from the Islamic term in Arabic for "blessed," baraka, used in the Koran. His father deserted the family when Barack Jr. was two and returned to Kenya.  His mother then married another Moslem studying at UH, Lolo Soetoro from Indonesia.  He moved with his mother and stepfather to Jakarta when he was six, where he attended a Moslem medressa (religious school). That makes him a Moslem.  That he denies that he ever was and is a Christian instead makes him, in Moslem eyes, also something much worse:  an apostate.  Apostasy in Islam is punishable by death.

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A DIFFICULT YEAR

2006 is coming to an end much as it began: with war, terrorism, bloodshed and moral confusion. From Afghanistan to Iraq to Somalia in the Horn of Africa, warfare continues between regular military establishments and irregular radical Islamist forces - which range from straight-out terrorist groups to private militias, death squads, war lords and criminal elements. On Christmas Eve the Associated Press reported from London that: "Islamic militants want to attack the Channel Tunnel between England and France during the holiday season, a British newspaper said Sunday, citing French and U.S. security sources. The Observer said the French foreign intelligence service, DGSE, warned the French government of the threat in a Dec. 19 report after a tip-off from the CIA."   Of course, rumors of terrorist attacks have become the background noise of our times -- to such an extent that they are largely discounted by most of the public. Also in that background noise of civic life is the growing assertiveness of many Moslems in the West.

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GRUDGING ACCEPTANCE

Con Coughlin is one of the best British journalists on the military/intelligence/national security beat, and he is privy to the thinking of top policy people and field commanders. In the London Telegraph (12/22), he reveals that both Washington and London are grudgingly coming to accept the fact that Iran is waging war against us in Afghanistan and Iraq. This reluctance was obviously peculiar to anyone who knew anything about Iran's real activities in the region. Commanders in Iraq and Afghanistan always knew that the Iranians had helped "orchestrate the roadside bombs that have killed and maimed so many soldiers," and are "actively supporting and providing equipment to Taliban-related groups" in Afghanistan. It's quite a change, and a welcome one, although there was never any excuse for the willful and deliberate refusal to see what Iran has been up to since 2001.

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THE NEXT WAR FOR OIL

On Christmas day this week, the National Academy of Sciences issued a report which indicates Iranian oil production is about to plunge. Iran currently earns about $50 billion a year in oil exports.  Oil profits account for about 65 percent of Iranian government revenues.  But Iranian oil exports could decline by half within five years, and virtually disappear within ten, said the report's author Roger Stern, an economic geographer at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore. The effect on Iran would be catastrophic. Thanks to mismanagement by the mullahs, and corruption on a scale so vast as to make even an Iraqi blush, Iran's economy is already a basket case.  Here's an example:  Iran, one of the world's largest oil producers, has to import 35% of its gasoline.  The fools haven't built new refineries and can't operate efficiently the ones they have.  So they have to import refined gasoline for their cars. Get ready for the next War For Oil in the Middle East.

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