HALF-FULL REPORT 09/12/25
A Turning Point For The USA
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A Voice for Virtue: In Memory of Charlie Kirk
(1993 – 2025)
We mourn a life ended too soon, and honor a profound and courageous legacy. Charlie Kirk’s journey among us was defined by a passionate belief in the promise of America and the timeless principles that make her great.
From his birth on October 14, 1993, to his tragic passing on Wednesday, he dedicated his energy to a mission far larger than himself: speaking a message of hope, merit, and virtue to a generation hungry for truth.
On college campuses across the nation, Charlie stood as a compassionate and articulate communicator. He carried with him a deep and abiding respect for the foundational ideals of our nation; the dignity of hard work, the power of free speech, and the transformative belief that every individual is endowed with potential. He did not speak to divide, but to unite around a common love for liberty and excellence.
He asked young people to aspire, to achieve, and to build, reminding them that their identity is found not in grievance, but in their God-given capacity for greatness.
His voice was a steady, reassuring presence in a sea of confusion, always advocating for dialogue over destruction and principles over power. He believed fiercely in the goodness of young people and in their desire to seek truth. He saw the university not as a battleground, but as a marketplace of ideas, and he entered that space with unwavering conviction and a respectful heart.
Though his voice has been tragically silenced, the echo of his message remains. It lives on in every student who chooses faith over fear, excellence over entitlement, and courage over conformity. We remember Charlie not for the darkness that took him, but for the brilliant light he carried.
May we honor his memory by continuing his work, by speaking with kindness, standing for principle, and always, always believing in the promise of a new generation.
His was a life of purpose. May he rest in eternal peace.
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Premeditated Violence
Tyler Robinson, a 22-year-old Utah man, has been arrested for fatally shooting Charlie Kirk on Wednesday at Utah Valley University.
In the months leading up to the attack, Robinson told family members that he believed Kirk was “full of hate,” and authorities said he either confessed or implied his role in the killing.
Robinson was a good student in high school, graduating with a 4.0 GPA and a high ACT score. He earned a scholarship to Utah State University but left after one semester.
Robinson later enrolled in an electrical apprenticeship program at Dixie Technical College in St. George, Utah. His academic promise and subsequent radicalization have drawn attention to the influence of on-line identity culture algorithms.
Surveillance footage shows Kirk was shot while hosting a campus event, after which Robinson fled by jumping from a nearby roof and blending into the crowd. Robinson, who had become more politically aware in recent years, acquired a rifle and used engraved ammunition referencing anti-fascist slogans.
Law enforcement identified him using surveillance, cellphone footage, and messages he sent on Discord detailing plans to retrieve and position the weapon. Robinson was apprehended after his father, recognizing him in released photos, contacted a minister who then involved authorities.
Utah Governor Spencer Cox condemned the attack as a strike on free speech and all Americans, calling Kirk a champion of expression and a defender of conservative values. Kirk, 31, co-founded Turning Point USA and spent much of his life debating and engaging young people on campuses.
Reinforcing algorithms accelerate radicalization by feeding emotionally charged, morally framed content that hardens worldviews and suppresses doubt, creating ideologically and emotionally primed actors.
Coupled with tactical capability such as surveillance skills and mobility, these individuals become premeditated threats, able to target high-value infrastructure like data centers, power grids, and Charlie Kirk with calculated effect. The algorithms effectively convert ideology into operational capability, producing a scalable, strategic danger far beyond impulsive violence.
The transformation of Tyler Robinson from a 4.0 scholarship student into a violent actor is a chilling case study in the weaponization of intellectual failure. Robinson possesses a brittle, procedural intelligence, excellently calibrated for the closed system of standardized testing but catastrophically unequipped for the unstructured meritocracy of university life.
His collapse after just one semester was an existential one, shattering his identity as the “smartest in the room” and creating a devastating psychic vacuum. This void was immediately exploited by a hostile online ecosystem that functions as a psychological targeting system for high-IQ, low-status males.
Antifa ideology provides a coping mechanism, pathologizing his inadequacy. The message was not that he had failed, but that he was a victim. His envy of competent, successful figures like Charlie Kirk was systematically re-branded as a righteous moral stance.
In this manipulative framework, Kirk became the personification of the “fascist” which is defined in this corrosive parlance as anyone whose achievements make the unsuccessful male feel inferior.
Robinson’s procedural mind, which failed at real-world achievement, found a new, darker algorithm to master: the planning of an attack. His rage was thus weaponized; his impulse to destroy the symbol of his own inadequacy was transformed by this ideology into a self-righteous mission.
He is the prototype of a new threat: the high-intellect, possibly autistic, failure turned delivery system for violence, a stark warning that the fusion of online radicalization and personal resentment is a replicable protocol for creating lone-wolf actors.
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Impulsive Violence
On August 22, 23-year-old Ukrainian refugee Iryna Zarutska was murdered on a Charlotte light-rail train, stabbed repeatedly by Decarlos Brown Jr., a homeless repeat offender with a long criminal record. Surveillance footage shows her cowering, helpless, as no one intervened.
This is a stark illustration of a justice system that has abandoned public safety for DEI theater. Zarutska fled Ukraine to escape war, only to be killed in a supposedly secure American city, exposing systemic chaos that allows dangerous individuals to operate with impunity.
Her death has sparked a cultural response: murals of her face are being funded across U.S. cities, including $1 million pledges from Elon Musk and Andrew Tate and a $500,000 grant program from Intercom CEO Eoghan McCabe, turning tragedy into both public memory and a visible indictment of societal failure.
The blood on her legs captured in surveillance footage is a warning of the consequences of lawlessness tolerated in the name of ideology.
An appointed North Carolina magistrate serving without a law degree or formal legal training released schizophrenic repeat offender DeCarlos Brown Jr. without bond on a “written promise to appear,” seven months before he fatally stabbed Zarutska.
Brown, homeless and diagnosed with schizophrenia, had a long arrest record and had recently been taken into custody for misusing 911 during a welfare check, claiming “man-made” material had been implanted in his body to control him, yet the justice system sent him back to the streets with his pinky swear promise to behave himself.
Charlie Kirk argued that excellence should come before DEI, contending that identity-focused policies undermine merit and institutional standards. He maintained that true equality arises when individuals are judged on ability and achievement, warning that DEI fosters division and a victimhood culture that distracts from merit-based success. So true, Charlie. So True.
We have had enough.
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Terrorism
The psychology of failed men who turn violent follows a clear pattern. A man with weak character and unsteady footing in life looks at those who are competent and admired, and he sees not examples to emulate but enemies to despise.
Every achievement by others feels like a rebuke of his own failures. He convinces himself that the world has humiliated him, that success is a conspiracy against him, and that his misery is proof of injustice.
Instead of disciplining himself, he allies with the feckless and the irresponsible, excusing their recklessness while resenting the strong.
That corrosive envy eventually hardens into self-righteous wrath. In his mind, he is no longer just a failure, he is a man with a mission, justified in striking back at the very structures that remind him of his inadequacy.
This is the bridge from weakness to fanaticism. Terrorism is not born of strength but of failed masculinity trying to recover dignity through destruction.
Take the Jacobins of the French Revolution. Many of them were minor lawyers and frustrated intellectuals; men of middling talent who resented the aristocracy’s stature. Instead of building, they tore down. Their envy of status and success metastasized into bloodlust, and they justified terror as “virtue in action.”
Look at the Russian radicals of the 19th and early 20th centuries. Lenin himself was a failed law student who spent more time in exile and underground than in the real world of work. He watched his brother get executed for terrorism and concluded that only destruction could restore meaning to his own wasted life. From that wound came a movement that enslaved half the planet.
Or consider the jihadists of our own age. Bin Laden was the wealthy son of a powerful family, but he was overshadowed by more capable brothers. His failures in business and his mediocrity as a fighter fed a festering sense of humiliation. When he turned to jihad, it was the desire to turn personal weakness into holy vengeance.
The pattern is always the same. A failed man, unable to bear comparison with the competent, declares war on the world that exposes his inadequacy. He cloaks envy in moral language, calls resentment a mission, and wields violence as counterfeit dignity. Terrorism is the refuge of the humiliated male who mistakes destruction for redemption.
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The Crisis
Social entropy is the gradual breakdown of societal order, norms, and predictability and is a measure of disorder in families, communities, institutions, and culture. It occurs when the structures that store moral and social energy weaken: fractured families, absent role models, economic stress, and cultural fragmentation all increase social entropy, leaving populations morally and behaviorally unpredictable.
Stochastic terrorism is the process by which public figures or online content creators use coded, emotionally charged, or indirect language to incite random actors to commit violence. The key element is that the inciter does not directly instruct the act so legally, they’re insulated.
But the message increases the probability of violent events against a target group. The attacks themselves are statistically unpredictable but can be linked back to the messaging environment.
The opioid epidemic and COVID have sharply expanded social entropy, destroying family cohesion and producing trauma-driven tribalism, identity fragmentation, and stochastic violence. This is random, unpredictable acts of aggression that often begin symbolically but can escalate to systemic threats against lives and infrastructure.
Historically, youth have sought identity and social cohesion through tribes, from post-WWII groups like the rockers and mods, to goths, hippies, and punk movements. Music and shared cultural rituals provided low-entropy channels, concentrating social energy and limiting chaos.
In the past two decades, social media has displaced music as the organizing mechanism, fragmenting identities into micro-tribes often defined by ideology, grievance, or aesthetics rather than shared culture. This digital shift concentrates moral and social entropy online, accelerating radicalization and creating fertile conditions for stochastic violence.
Youth raised amid addiction, fractured families, and digital tribalism adopt situational and instrumental ethics, often lacking fathers, mentors, or moral exemplars. Left unchecked, these actors escalate from scattered violence and symbolic attacks to systemic assaults on critical infrastructure, threatening national stability.
Society historically tolerates minor disorder until vital assets like the World Trade Center, twenty-four years ago, yesterday, at which point response is decisive and overwhelming. Historical patterns show this crisis-driven reset occurs roughly every fourth generation: disorder accumulates, entropy peaks, and society is forced into regeneration through conflict, mobilization, and institutional renewal. The big enchilada will likely happen when a $10 Billion data center, the heart of big tech, is attacked.
The only durable prevention is the restoration of moral entropy reserves through a virtue-based framework of prudence, justice, fortitude, temperance, faith, hope, and love, transmitted through families, churches, schools, communities, and culture.
AI can act as a local entropy compressor, detecting disorder, predicting escalation, and guiding human-led interventions, but moral and institutional renewal remains central. The strategic task is blunt: rebuild virtue at the base, reinforce order at the top, and recognize that if social entropy is not actively compressed, Fourth Turning–scale crises will force the reset at far greater cost.
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Enter AI
Lenin’s pamphlet, What Is to Be Done?, written in 1902, lays out a revolutionary strategy that is still relevant today in understanding how some modern extremist groups think. Lenin argued that ordinary protests or strikes are not enough to change society.
To have real impact, you need a small, disciplined group of leaders who understand the theory behind the revolution. This group, called the “vanguard,” directs and shapes unrest so it disrupts the system in a precise way. In short, sparks of chaos need a map and strategy to become a serious threat.
Modern radicals use the same logic, even if they do not call it Marxism. They look for what are called “low-entropy points” in society. Entropy is a measure of disorder. Low-entropy points are highly ordered, concentrated parts of a system that many other parts depend on. Like churches, schools, data centers, or shopping malls.
Examples include large cloud data centers that run banks and logistics, the electrical grid that powers cities, and the main fiber-optic networks that carry the Internet. And Charlie Kirk.
Because these systems are tightly connected and centralized, a small disruption in one place can ripple out and cause widespread chaos. Extremists aim at these points because breaking them can create maximum disorder with minimal effort. They see the chaos as a vacuum they can step into, imagining themselves as the new masters of the system, the modern version of Lenin’s vanguard.
Artificial intelligence can help defend these systems. AI can quickly detect unusual activity, predict problems before they spread, and automatically respond to contain damage. For example, it can reroute network traffic if a fiber line is attacked or isolate parts of a data center if it detects a cyber threat.
In effect, AI acts like a stabilizing force, absorbing shocks and preventing chaos from spreading. You can think of it as a buffer against disorder, protecting society’s most important and fragile systems.
However, there are legal and ethical limits. In the United States, AI cannot be used to target people for what they think, who they associate with, or their political beliefs. This is protected by the Constitution, especially the First Amendment.
AI must only act on clear signs of risk to infrastructure or public safety. Humans must oversee decisions, and the systems must be transparent so they cannot be misused. The goal is to defend society’s low-entropy points without violating individual rights.
In short, the lesson from Lenin and modern security is this: disorder is dangerous when it is guided by disciplined actors. Extremists focus on society’s fragile, high-leverage points to maximize chaos. AI can act as a counterbalance, protecting these critical nodes while respecting the law. By understanding how radicals think and reinforcing the systems they target, society can prevent small sparks from becoming a destructive fire.
AI functions like a boiler in a thermodynamic system, converting raw electrical energy into structured work. By analyzing chaotic data, detecting rising disorder, and guiding interventions, AI compresses information entropy, turning randomness and noise into usable order.
Lower entropy itself does not perform work until it expands into higher-entropy states. Imagine the way that pressurized steam drives turbines. AI’s organizational energy is only effective when applied through human action, institutions, and culture.
This principle mirrors historical examples like the emergence of Christianity, which restored social order by creating low-entropy reservoirs of faith, hope, and love. Christianity concentrated moral and social energy, aligning individual action with transcendent purpose, stabilizing society, and powering institutional and cultural renewal over generations.
Its strength lies precisely in these low-entropy elements: predictable, value-driven behavior that reproduces across families, communities, and institutions. The modern left often targets Christianity because it generates resilient, low-entropy structures that resist social fragmentation, rebuild moral reserves, and re-power civilization.
The strategic lesson is clear: society must rebuild moral and social entropy reserves through virtue, reinforced in families, schools, communities, and culture. AI can act as an entropy compressor, amplifying human capacity to detect disorder and guide interventions, but human-led moral and institutional renewal remains central.
Rebuilding low-entropy structures at the base, reinforcing order at the top, and applying structured energy through faith, virtue, and AI compresses societal chaos, prevents stochastic violence, and prepares civilization for regeneration without waiting for Fourth Turning crises.
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Autism, Gender Dysphoria, and Violence
In recent years, there has been a significant increase in both the prevalence of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and incidents of violence associated with transgender activism. Autism diagnoses have risen sharply, from approximately 1 in 150 children in 2000 to 1 in 36 in 2020 CDC.
Concurrently, there has been a troubling uptick in violent acts linked to transgender activism. For instance, in 2024, the Human Rights Campaign reported at least 41 transgender and gender-expansive individuals fatally shot or killed by other violent means HRC.
This convergence of rising autism diagnoses and violent transgender activism suggests a complex, interrelated crisis that demands urgent attention.
Dr. Az Hakeem, a consultant psychiatrist and medical psychotherapist, has extensively studied the intersection of autism and gender dysphoria. His research indicates that individuals with autism are disproportionately inclined to claim gender dysphoria, often due to challenges in social communication and rigid thinking patterns.
In essence, the chld realizes that he does not fit with the other kids. An adult or social media tells him that he was born into the wrong body, but everything can be fixed with some surgery and drugs. Whether the adult is well meaning or not, the effect on the autistic youth from this politically motivated diagnosis is catastrophic.
Dr. Hakeem advocates for a very cautious, exploratory approach to gender identity in autistic individuals, emphasizing the importance of understanding underlying psychological factors rather than affirmation PMC. Don’t lie to the kid. He might not be able to tell the difference between the reality and the politics. That feeling of discomfort will not end by putting him in a dress. It might grow worse.
The current trend of affirming gender identity without thorough psychological evaluation is analogous to affirming conditions like anorexia without addressing the underlying mental health issues. Such an approach can lead to irreversible decisions that cause great harm. And if that harm crosses a threshold, well, sometimes, they grab a gun.
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Misapplied Narratives and Neurodivergence
Autistic children often know at an early age that they do not fit typical social or sensory patterns.
Instead of being supported in understanding and integrating their neurodivergence, many are told by well-meaning adults and media narratives that the source of their distress is being “born in the wrong body.”
The message shifts the framing from “you are autistic, and your brain works differently” to “you must be transgender,” bypassing the underlying neurological reality.
This misattribution ignores the fact that autistic brains may represent an emergent, co-existing cognitive state and a distinct wiring pattern that is fully consistent with their birth biology.
From a systems perspective, neurodivergence introduces expanded entropy: a parallel state of cognition and experience that co-exists with normative patterns, increasing the variety and richness of potential behaviors, but also creating stress if society misreads or suppresses it.
The simultaneous rise in autism diagnoses and incidents of violence linked to transgender activism presents a multifaceted crisis that requires immediate and comprehensive action. By integrating Dr. Hakeem’s insights into clinical practice and adopting a more cautious approach to gender identity dysphoria, we can better address the needs of autistic individuals and mitigate potential risks associated with hasty affirmations.
This paradigm shift from being born into the wrong body to the emergence of alternate mental states due to expanding entropy is consistent with observations on both the macro and micro scale.
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Over at HHS
RFK Jr. and the Collapse of the U.S. Health System
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is orchestrating a radical dismantling of the U.S. health infrastructure, a system so entropic that it no longer delivers meaningful societal benefit.
His actions include firing incompetent leaders, purging scientific advisory bodies, and promoting are an attempt to restore institutional competence.
Kennedy’s ousting of CDC Director Susan Monarez, followed by the resignation of senior officials, underscores a profound leadership crisis. Monarez’s refusal to question the capture of the CDC by pharmaceutical companies led to her dismissal, a move that has been widely criticized by the pharmaceutical industry as politically motivated.
Former CDC leaders have condemned Kennedy’s actions, warning that his interference undermines the agency’s ability to protect Americans from health threats.
But just as with the assassination of Charlie Kirk, those that thrive in a state of expanded entropy fear their inability to succeed in a better organized, higher energy system.
There is nothing new here. The sentries that opened the gates to chaos expect to pass the buck.
Kennedy’s assertion that environmental factors, possibly vaccines, are primary causes of autism is very threatening because it implies that the gatekeepers of public health failed to practice due diligence.
The HHS recently provided evidence to congress that four major Covid vaccine safety studies did not, in fact, include the base conditions to test effects against the null hypothesis. They failed to meet high school science fair standards.
The question we should be asking is not just “what caused the rise in autism,” but “what kept it from rising in the past?” Autism may be a rapidly emerging condition in which a different way of thinking, previously rare, is becoming more common. Its increase suggests that some natural or societal safeguards that used to keep it rare have been weakened or removed.
This rise is a signal that something in our environment, development, or society has shifted, allowing more people to express these divergent ways of thinking. In other words, the mechanisms that once kept the system stable and balanced are no longer fully working, so more minds are showing these unusual wiring patterns.
This situation shows that the health system, already complicated and disorganized, has not handled the problem well. Research has stalled, treatments are limited, and responsibility has sometimes been passed off to global agencies like the WHO. Environmental, social, and medical factors may have all played a role in weakening the natural safeguards that kept autism rare.
From a systems point of view, the rise of autism is like an increase in disorder and another way of thinking now exists alongside typical patterns. Understanding this helps public health focus not just on treating individual cases, but also on fixing the larger systems that allow these conditions to emerge unchecked, so we can restore balance and reduce disorder where possible.
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The WHO Withdrawal: A Strategic Retreat
The U.S. withdrawal from the World Health Organization (WHO) last week was a necessary step to reclaim sovereignty over national health policies. RFK Statement. The WHO’s bureaucratic inefficiencies and questionable priorities had become a drain on resources without delivering commensurate benefits.
This decision reflects a commitment to restoring order and competence within domestic health systems, ensuring that policies are tailored to the unique needs of the American populace.
It is imperative to reinstate scientific integrity, prioritize evidence-based practices, and reassert control over health governance to prevent further systemic collapse.
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Operation Eastern Sentry
On the night of September 9–10, 2025, Poland became the first NATO member to engage Russian military assets directly during the ongoing war in Ukraine. Approximately 19 to 23 Russian drones entered Polish airspace, prompting Polish and NATO forces to scramble aircraft and shoot down at least eight of them. The drones penetrated Polish territory to a depth exceeding 100 miles, causing significant concern among NATO allies Wikipedia.
In response, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk invoked Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty, initiating consultations with NATO allies. He described the incident as a “large-scale provocation” and emphasized that the drones posed a direct threat to Polish sovereignty Reuters. Poland also requested an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council to address the breach Reuters.
The incursion occurred amid a broader Russian offensive in Ukraine, involving over 400 drones and 40 missiles. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy condemned the attack as a deliberate provocation by Russia, aimed at testing NATO’s resolve and potentially pressuring Poland to reconsider its support for Ukraine New York Post.
In the aftermath, NATO launched “Eastern Sentry,” a new defense initiative to bolster security along its eastern flank. The operation involves contributions from France, Denmark, Germany, and the UK, including the deployment of French Rafale and Danish F-16 jets, a frigate, and enhanced air and ground-based defense systems AP News.
Poland has ruled out direct discussions with Russia over the incident, citing consistent misinformation from Moscow. Instead, Poland is focusing on strengthening its defense capabilities and enhancing cooperation with NATO allies and Ukraine Reuters.
This incident marks a significant escalation in the conflict, highlighting the vulnerability of NATO’s eastern flank and the potential for the war in Ukraine to spill over into allied territories.
War is politics writ large, the raw application of power to achieve strategic ends. Russia’s campaign in Ukraine demonstrates this principle in stark relief: they are expending vast treasure and manpower, destabilizing their own economy, and yet failing to convert military gains into meaningful political leverage.
Every drone, missile, and armored push incrementally advances their territorial claims, but it also provokes the West to organize, invest, and reinforce its defenses. Europe is actively compressing disorder into structure, improving its cultural and strategic resilience.
Russia’s planners never intended to strengthen NATO, fortify European societies, or sharpen the West’s political and military faculties, yet that is precisely the outcome.
Their so-called “victories” are Pyrrhic; the more they pour resources into chaos, the more they catalyze an ordered and capable opposition. In this theater, raw force does not equate to political success. The West’s consolidation of energy, will, and strategy exposes the fundamental flaw in Moscow’s calculations: war may be politics, but politics cannot be imposed by entropy alone.
Keep your chin up. It might not sound like it, but everywhere, the good guys have had enough.
Mike Ryan is a chemical engineering consultant to heavy industry.