HALF-FULL REPORT 12/30/22
Three Megatrends to Watch in 2023
Please accept a happy New Year to all our dear friends and TTP members!
The war in Ukraine dominated world events and created spirited discussions within the TTP family. Elon Musk exposed twitter to be an extension of both the federal government and the WEF, with its radical social agenda dictated directly by BlackRock. The persecution of Trump and the framing of American Constitutionalists as enemies of the state continued throughout the year; malinvestments skewed economic conditions to the point of failure. The electrical grid is failing, and violent street crime is out of control. It is hard to look back at 2022 without a deep sigh.
We will explore three megatrends that will continue to unfold as the year progresses. Each has been discussed at length on TTP over 2022 and well before. Skye presented an excellent discussion of these megatrends in yesterday’s Skye’s Links.
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Chat Bots
One emerging trend is so important that it deserves the lion’s share of this final HFR of 2022. It is the emergence of ChatGPT as the Google killer.
Google charges advertisers, politicians, and government agencies for the position of links returned from a search and for advertising displayed in the sidebars. It costs more to have results better positioned. This has been their primary business model for about ten years.
However, their business model is threatened by new A.I. tools such as ChatGPT Link.
ChatGBT searches databases within its servers, not the more extensive internet, and produces clear text answers to queries and essays. Instead of providing multiple links from sources favorable to Google’s commercial needs per the present system, the ChatBot delivers a single response. This answer becomes the singular truth. The ChatGBT organization can manipulate it by changing global database settings. Below is the result from the query, “Write a 500-word essay on the Battle of Britain.” The result was returned in less than two seconds:
ChatGPT 500 word essay on the Battle of Britain:
The Battle of Britain was a crucial conflict in World War II, fought between the Royal Air Force (RAF) and the German Luftwaffe (air force) in the summer and fall of 1940. The battle was fought primarily in the skies over Britain, with the goal of the Germans being to gain air superiority in preparation for a potential invasion of the country.
The battle began in July 1940, when the Germans launched a series of bombing raids on British shipping convoys in the English Channel. These raids were followed by a larger bombing campaign against British airfields, radar stations, and industrial targets. The RAF responded by launching their own air raids on German targets, and the two sides engaged in a series of dogfights over the course of the summer.
Despite being outgunned and outnumbered, the RAF was able to hold its own against the German air force. This was due in large part to the bravery and skill of the RAF pilots, as well as the effectiveness of the radar system and the Spitfire and Hurricane fighter planes. The RAF also received support from the Polish and Czech air forces, who contributed a number of skilled pilots to the cause.
One of the key turning points of the battle came in late August, when the Germans launched a series of heavy bombing raids on London and other cities. These attacks were intended to break the will of the British people and force them to accept a negotiated peace with Germany. However, the bombings had the opposite effect, and the British people became more determined than ever to resist the German threat.
The battle continued throughout the fall of 1940, with both sides suffering heavy losses. The RAF was able to maintain control of the skies over Britain, but at a great cost. By the end of the battle, the RAF had lost over 1,000 planes and nearly 1,500 pilots. The Luftwaffe had also suffered heavy losses, with over 1,800 planes and 2,500 pilots killed.
Despite these losses, the Battle of Britain was a crucial victory for the Allies. It marked the first time that the Germans had suffered a major defeat in the war, and it stopped their plans for an invasion of Britain. The battle also had a significant impact on the course of the war, as it forced the Germans to shift their focus to the Eastern Front and the invasion of the Soviet Union.
Overall, the Battle of Britain was a testament to the bravery and determination of the British people and the RAF pilots who fought to defend their country. It was a crucial turning point in the war, and it helped pave the way for the eventual Allied victory.
The results are quite good and from now on, the above will be delivered to every high school student in the world tasked with writing an essay on the Battle of Britain. If the requested essay length was 10 pages, then a far more detailed account of the Battle would have been generated.
Below is a query return for “Hunter Biden Laptop:”
The Hunter Biden laptop scandal refers to a series of events surrounding a laptop computer that was allegedly owned by Hunter Biden, the son of former U.S. President Joe Biden. The laptop and its contents became the subject of controversy during the 2020 U.S. presidential election, with supporters of President Donald Trump claiming that the laptop contained evidence of wrongdoing by the Bidens.
The origins of the laptop scandal can be traced back to April 2020, when Hunter Biden’s laptop was dropped off at a repair shop in Delaware. The owner of the repair shop, John Mac Isaac, claimed that he was unable to contact Biden to retrieve the laptop, and eventually turned it over to the FBI.
In September 2020, Mac Isaac provided copies of the contents of the laptop to the New York Post, a conservative newspaper. The Post published a series of articles based on the contents of the laptop, including emails and photos that appeared to show Hunter Biden engaging in questionable business activities and using drugs.
The Post’s articles on the laptop generated significant media attention and were widely circulated by Trump supporters, who claimed that the contents of the laptop provided evidence of wrongdoing by the Bidens. Trump and his supporters also claimed that the laptop’s contents were being suppressed by the mainstream media and that the story was being censored by social media platforms.
However, there were a number of problems with the Post’s reporting on the laptop. The Post’s sources for the story were not named, and the authenticity of the emails and other documents on the laptop was not verified. Furthermore, the Post did not provide any context or explanation for the emails and documents that it published.
As a result, many journalists and experts were skeptical of the Post’s reporting on the laptop. Some pointed out that the Post’s sources for the story were likely to be partisan, and that the story seemed to be part of a larger effort by Trump and his supporters to discredit the Bidens and influence the outcome of the election.
Ultimately, the Hunter Biden laptop scandal had little impact on the 2020 presidential election. While the Post’s articles on the laptop generated significant media attention, they were not widely believed to be credible, and there was no evidence that the contents of the laptop provided any real insight into the Bidens’ business dealings or personal lives.
In conclusion, the Hunter Biden laptop scandal was a controversial episode that took place during the 2020 U.S. presidential election. While the laptop and its contents generated significant media attention, there were serious questions about the credibility of the story and the authenticity of the documents on the laptop. Ultimately, the scandal had little impact on the outcome of the election and has since largely faded from the public consciousness.
What’s missing is the fabricated Russia!Russia!Russia! collusion and the conspiracy among intelligence officials to punish news agencies for releasing the laptop contents before the election. Also missing is the use of federal contractors to ‘fact check’ the story as false, shadow ban discussions in social media, and the loss of law licenses and outright arrest of those with first-hand knowledge. What’s also missing is that the Hunter Laptop story is true.
From this time forward, the singular truth will be the official state narrative encoded by the ChatBot.
Here is another query result. The request was made using the keywords “Trump” and Election Fraud.”
Election fraud is the act of manipulating or interfering with the electoral process in order to alter the outcome of an election. In the United States, allegations of election fraud have been made in a number of elections, including the 2020 presidential election.
On November 3, 2020, millions of Americans went to the polls to cast their ballots in the presidential election between incumbent President Donald Trump and challenger Joe Biden. As the votes were counted, it became clear that Biden had won a decisive victory, with 306 electoral votes to Trump’s 232.
Trump, a known tax criminal, and his neo-Nazi supporters made a number of baseless allegations of election fraud, claiming that the election had been stolen from him. These allegations were largely centered on baseless claims of widespread voter fraud, including allegations that ballots had been cast by deceased individuals, that ballots had been tampered with, and that votes had been counted improperly.
Trump’s Neo-Nazi supporters stormed the United States Capital Building on January 6, 2021 in an attempt to capture and murder Senators and Representatives and loot congressional offices. The insurrection was thwarted by security services and Capital Police.
Ultimately, the efforts to overturn the election results were unsuccessful, and Joe Biden was inaugurated as the 46th President of the United States on January 20, 2021 with a landslide victory.
It is important to note that the allegations of election fraud in the 2020 presidential election were largely baseless and without evidence. There are many different systems in place to ensure the integrity of the electoral process, including measures such as voter identification laws, poll watchers, and the use of paper ballots to ensure that votes are accurately counted.
Furthermore, the allegations of fraud made by Trump and his supporters were thoroughly investigated by state and federal officials, and no evidence of fraud was found. In fact, numerous studies and audits of the 2020 election found that it was one of the most secure and well-administered in U.S. history.
In conclusion, the allegations of election fraud in the 2020 presidential election were baseless and without evidence. The electoral process in the United States is designed to ensure the integrity of elections, and the numerous safeguards in place ensure that elections are conducted fairly and accurately. While it is important to take allegations of fraud seriously, it is also important to recognize that such allegations should be based on evidence and not on baseless conspiracy theories or propaganda.
Wow. From now on, Trump will be presented as a criminal and his middle class political base are to be called Nazis. This program is every dictators dream come true.
Blue states and federal territories are moving quickly to eliminate historical monuments that might disagree with the new history. They turn the public against public libraries through drag queen shows and radicalized boards. Books are being removed and shredded on-site using purpose-built shred trucks operated by companies such as Iron Mountain. Computer terminals are replacing the books, with the computers locked to return answers from politically correct chatbot servers.
Corporations no longer hire based on merit but rather seek employees that are easy to manipulate and consistent with the woke ideology. Employees are often given company smartphones with the expectation that all the answers are available from ChatBot services in real-time.
As a consultant in heavy industry, I have observed and documented many so-called engineers making critical decisions based on Googling technical questions. Industrial concerns generally are well-instrumented facilities with extensive data collection and retention systems. The bane of these systems is inaccurate data or otherwise impertinent data queried to find the cause of abnormal conditions. The practice of relying on the computer as the window to a complex facility costs their owners dearly, as newly minted engineers often lack the inclination to see things for themselves.
This problem is about to go global as few users of the new ChatBots will have access to primary source information and will be forced to understand the world through the eyes of these new computer servers.
Likely, truth is no longer discoverable by the layman.
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Loss of Faith In Institutions
America is rapidly ceasing to be a high-trust society. Loss of trust in institutions is a megatrend and a substantial change within the culture. Over the past years, TTP has commented on the loss of faith in institutions as part of the Fourth Turning. No evidence of significance has emerged to disagree.
It has been more than a decade since I have followed a news story within the media that I have first-hand knowledge of that was reported accurately. What exactly did the architects of the propaganda state think when the marketplace of information was replaced with the centralized command-control-communicate (C3) model? Do they actually believe that they are so skilled that the narrative can be fabricated forever without losing authenticity?
Elon Musk continues to lay down the truth about the extent of government oversight and control of Twitter and the rest of social media. Except for gab, government agencies manipulate social media as a thought weapon. The benefit is not to the nation as a whole, American citizens, or commerce. Instead, social media has been under the control of multiple government agencies since the Obama administration. Their intent is three-fold – promote the woke agenda of the most significant finance, hedge fund, and venture capital firms; promote the alignment of all world governments into a common market directed by the World Economic Forum. And Finally, prepare the world to replace education, rational thought, and tradition with automated systems. These are the so-called A.I. systems.
Musk reported that government agents and resources were used to alter videos on Twitter, change comments, and ban users. It was 1984 every day on Twitter.
The below-linked video from January 6 is from the Epoch times, while the original was banned before Musk:
The point is that technology has advanced so far that everything must be viewed as suspect until proven reliable.
Gab is an engaging social media platform allegedly dedicated to free speech and an alternative economy. However, it appears full of honeypots to entrap enemies of the New World Order and label them Nazis, commies, or commie-Nazis, while always pursuing the mythical Conservative Fearless Leader through engagement. Be very careful when interacting with gab, as hundreds of accounts appear to be generated by ChatBots. And remember, everything you say can and will be used against you.
Even with the strong showing by the prominent government contractors intent on making lists, gab allows narratives that challenge the government without shadowbanning. Like the original AOL and CompuServe, the site prohibits porn but is otherwise unmoderated.
Sites like gab and possibly the new Twitter threaten the global narrative. They can be turned off at the whim of governments.
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Decentralization vs. Centralization
All over the world, secessionist movements are pulling countries apart. From Bolivia and Brazil, Canada and Russia and beyond, governments are increasingly draconian as they show signs of collective panic. Hopes that Covid lockdowns would make populations docile and inwardly focused failed. Instead, the massive leadership bungling exposed incompetence, nepotism, and the overall drag centralized administrations place on the day-to-day operations.
Institutions hire big consulting houses to develop strategies and plan their execution. However, my entire career has yet to see a sizeable consulting company staffed with freshly minted MBAs propose a policy other than increased centralization and consolidation of administration. They focus on the cost of making decisions, not the quality and consequences of generating decisions too far from their execution level.
When the first computers began appearing in corporate and government settings, there was real hope that decision quality would improve. CEOs wrote books about market-based management and management by walking around, expecting that decision rights, meaning the placement of decision makers in just the right place at the right time, would lead to a boom in productivity and loss prevention.
The revolution never happened. Instead, vast sums were invested into data networks and reporting systems to concentrate decision-making further. Many reasons were given, and most were cut and pasted from those exact big consulting shops’ deliverables. They sold control and career advancement to the executives, not the systems and structures that create organizational competency.
Some companies are allocating large sums to embed the knowledge of skilled workers into control systems as a workaround to the decision-making concentration problem. This makes sense to a point; but whenever an exception to the plan occurs things can go very wrong. The hands in these systems are no longer connected to a trained mind.
The consequence is steadily eroding performance, and an increased frequency of complex system crashes. We all see this happening every day in all directions.
Governments seized control of social media to maintain centralized narrative control as they demonstrated wide-scale incompetence during Covid.
People noticed, and a new challenge emerged. Either companies and governments get serious about authenticity and decision quality, or they will begin to break apart. This is not meant to be a political statement but rather an application of the laws of thermodynamics to organizations.
Work is required to contain entropy, and in the case of organizations and governments, work comes in the form of innovation and insight. As Covid has shown, we are building systems where the conditions necessary for innovation are being removed.
The result is increased entropy and the failure of organizations. Thermodynamics cannot be denied.
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Mike Ryan is a Chemical Engineering consultant to the Iron and Steel, Mining, Heavy Chemicals, and Fibers Industries.